Bernabe Zapata Miralles vs Luka Pavlovic Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When comparing recent second serve performance, Luka Pavlovic shows a slight advantage, winning 47.13% of points compared to Bernabe Zapata Miralles's 44.81%. Could this provide an edge? Possibly.
• In return game statistics, Bernabe Zapata Miralles excels by winning 50.33% of opponent second serve points against Luka Pavlovic's 43.07%. Does this suggest Miralles is a stronger returner? Yes, particularly on second serves.
• First serve returns favor Miralles significantly, as he wins 33.15% compared to Pavlovic's 23.95%. What does this mean? It could indicate a better chance for Miralles to break serves.
• Under pressure, Pavlovic saves more breakpoints at 58.80%, indicating resilience, compared to Miralles's 53.60%.
• Over the past year, Pavlovic has a higher match win rate of 60.00% (33 wins, 22 losses), while Miralles has a lower rate at 47.06% (24 wins, 27 losses).
• Surface-wise, Miralles performs best on clay with a win rate of 61%, the same as Pavlovic’s best surface, grass, also at 61%.
• On the international hard courts, both players show weaknesses, with Pavlovic winning 40% and Miralles 42% of the matches.
• Compared in the Challengers/ITF tournaments, Pavlovic excels with a 63.83% win rate, while Miralles trails with 39.02%.
• Pavlovic has competed against higher-ranked opponents on average, with a rank of 263.84, compared to Miralles's average opponent rank of 339.16.
• In deciding sets, Pavlovic appears more poised, winning 58% of such matches, whereas Miralles wins 50% of them.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

Considering recent performance in key areas, Luka Pavlovic appears slightly more skilled in second serve points, which could offer him a marginal advantage. However, Bernabe Zapata Miralles shows superior return game statistics, which might counterbalance Pavlovic's serving strength.

Though Pavlovic showcases resilience under pressure with better breakpoint saves and a higher match win percentage this year, Miralles's strength in return games and effectiveness in first serve returns allow him to break his opponent's serve more often.

Both players perform best on surfaces distinct from the indoor hard court, though Miralles shows slightly higher proficiency there, suggesting potential leverage in this upcoming match setting.

While Pavlovic has faced stiffer competition and holds a better record in deciding sets, Miralles’s strong return capabilities may provide the edge needed to secure a win.

Therefore, Bernabe Zapata Miralles is anticipated to be the more likely winner in this upcoming tennis match, leveraging his strong return game to outplay Luka Pavlovic.